Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.020834 0.024283 0.028088 0.032596 0.037782 0.043560 0.050478
2025-11-02 0.015010 0.019295 0.024469 0.031156 0.039553 0.049724 0.062958
2025-11-09 0.011370 0.015928 0.021880 0.030180 0.041406 0.056013 0.076397
2025-11-16 0.009118 0.013785 0.020315 0.030046 0.044090 0.063522 0.092318
2025-11-23 0.007280 0.011799 0.018531 0.029182 0.045475 0.069285 0.106493
2025-11-30 0.006401 0.011034 0.018329 0.030495 0.050072 0.080071 0.129146
2025-12-07 0.005444 0.009946 0.017415 0.030497 0.052561 0.087888 0.148167
2025-12-14 0.004510 0.008712 0.016036 0.029476 0.053175 0.092714 0.162889
2025-12-21 0.003868 0.007868 0.015170 0.029160 0.054853 0.099366 0.181256
2025-12-28 0.003591 0.007652 0.015377 0.030756 0.060041 0.112494 0.212086
2026-01-04 0.003262 0.007273 0.015212 0.031614 0.063955 0.123755 0.240775
2026-01-11 0.002794 0.006524 0.014211 0.030698 0.064364 0.128633 0.258250
2026-01-18 0.002443 0.005969 0.013535 0.030368 0.065941 0.136002 0.281507
2026-01-25 0.002090 0.005347 0.012620 0.029406 0.066112 0.140670 0.300065
2026-02-01 0.001808 0.004836 0.011865 0.028674 0.066652 0.146105 0.320725
2026-02-08 0.001614 0.004503 0.011456 0.028645 0.068688 0.154793 0.348952
2026-02-15 0.001402 0.004080 0.010769 0.027869 0.068946 0.159744 0.369799
2026-02-22 0.001328 0.004013 0.010936 0.029153 0.074084 0.175777 0.416254
2026-03-01 0.001199 0.003765 0.010608 0.029167 0.076225 0.185380 0.449448
2026-03-08 0.001041 0.003405 0.009932 0.028196 0.075845 0.189203 0.469926
2026-03-15 0.000931 0.003164 0.009535 0.027896 0.077090 0.196917 0.500189
2026-03-22 0.000901 0.003164 0.009805 0.029428 0.083207 0.216845 0.561348
2026-03-29 0.000847 0.003078 0.009818 0.030252 0.087571 0.232951 0.614837